The latest hurricane model forecast have put potential U.S. landfall of Hurricane Ike along the Texas Gulf coast. This puts the region from Port Lavaca to Port Arthur at the greatest risk. Landfall of Hurricane Ike is dependent on the speed of Ike over the next few days. If Ike continues at a quick pace it will result in a more southern landfall. However, if the pace of Ike slows, then the hurricane will likely be picked up by the southwest winds aloft forecasted this weekend. Refardless, Hurricane Ike is forecasted to be major hurricane at this time period with winds in excess of 115 mph.
The upper level winds and sea surface temperatures provide a favorable environment for Hurricane Ike. SSTs in the Gulf of Mexico are greater than 29 C. The current water temperature from near Galveston is 86 F, http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php?pil=HGXTIDHGX. In addition to the already warm waters in the Gulf, Hurricane Ike will pass over three eddies of warmer warmer which will add fuel to the fire. Some of the latest computer models make Hurricane Ike a category 5 hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico. Residents along the Gulf coast should keep a close watch on Hurricane Ike.
I heard on TV that the best waves, 20-30 feet, are actually breaking about 1/2 - 1 mile away from the shore. I guess because the water depth is too shallow right along the shore. So, the best stuff is way too far out for me to hit it up, but every once in a while there are some good waves up close. I think yesterday was the best day for surfing.
Wish I was there!
30
Friday, 12 September 2008 09:32
Neal
Im so pissed to be in Germany and not in the middle of this storm, I bet the waves are awesome for surfing on Galveston Island right now! Why cant Hurricanes hit when im actually back at home?
Love this site
29
Friday, 12 September 2008 06:38
Mary Smith
We never evacuate. Enjoyed direct hits in Florida as well as Houston:). Husband provides military support for Ellington Field which is 30 miles north of Galveston. Across the street from Ellington Field is Sycamore Valley. Most residents are preparing for a hurricane PARTY. We all stayed behind to allow Galveston residents to evacuate. Didn't want a Rita repeat. Wish us luck. Thanks for this site. Enjoying all the details.
Hurricane Ike Landfall
28
Friday, 12 September 2008 00:36
TwisterVideos
The latest NHC forecast has Ike making landfall on Galveston Island. This is the worst case scenario with maximum damage. It is important to take note that the models have been trending further to the right. Nevertheless, Houston is not in a good position. Forecast storm surge is more than 25 feet.
Hurricane Ike Forecast Storm Surge
A more precise forecast will be available early tomorrow morning.
Dr. jacomb ivanovich
27
Thursday, 11 September 2008 23:03
Neal
Thanx Dr. jacomb ivanovich, i had no idea where Ike was going, but since you were kind enough to chime in with your expert opinion, I can sleep safe tonight. Thanks a million! Good to know you are watching the weather for good ole Texas.
less moore
26
Thursday, 11 September 2008 18:48
jacomb ivanovich
hey neal, the needs of the many have never outweighed the needs of a Bush few. Less is more. This hurricane is going to strike Huston and Galvistino bay.
I don't think it will hit Beaumont this time
25
Thursday, 11 September 2008 18:31
Tom
Although Ike seems to look like hurricane Rita, it started little lower compared to Rita.It seems like it will hit central Texas,somewhere between Houston and Corpus Christi.
Thanx for the pity
24
Thursday, 11 September 2008 17:35
Neal
Hahaha, thanxs dw but i am from Houston, i currently live in Germany working as a weather forecaster for the USAF (imagine that) so Ill be ok, my family is evacuating to Dallas and we got hurricane insurance so things could be worse. Hopefully it will stay a CAT 2 or 3, i dont see it making CAT 4 like they predicted, too much upper level shearing and dry air intrusion. Houston will survive, us Texans are tough SOBs unlike those Louisiana whimps who always need our help because they build their cities under sea level.
Poor Neil
23
Thursday, 11 September 2008 15:53
dw
Like Neil I live in Houston. House prices are too high there. So I'm hoping Ike wipes 'em out, get people to leave, drop house prices by 50%. Sounds good to me -- I rent!
25 cents a gallon more? We'll get anyway since the refineries have to shutdown REGARDLESS of where this hits. If it damages ANY refinery, we will see another $1.00 a gallon.
Hey
22
Thursday, 11 September 2008 15:43
Harry
Any hot chicks from Houston wanna come shack up?
dammit
21
Thursday, 11 September 2008 05:22
Neal
Hopefully it keeps curving or the US will see about a 25 cent per gallon increase in gas and Houston is gonna get f*ed up!
ike
20
Thursday, 11 September 2008 00:40
pedro
i think that there liying to us and theres no huracain ike. all the news people lie
It's gonna turn!
19
Wednesday, 10 September 2008 22:33
Crappy The Penguin
Christy
So does anyone remember the path Rita took. This is exactly where they said it would hit for Rita and it ended up hitting us in Port Arthur/Beaumont Area. What are the chances of this happening twice?
Most likely!
Ike is tracking at only 8 MPH and a front from the West is pushing against it. It's gonna bend it like Beckham, mark my word.
Southeast Texas
18
Wednesday, 10 September 2008 22:23
Christy
So does anyone remember the path Rita took. This is exactly where they said it would hit for Rita and it ended up hitting us in Port Arthur/Beaumont Area. What are the chances of this happening twice?
ike
17
Wednesday, 10 September 2008 20:44
j.hernandez
who ever jake is you ought to be ashamed of yourself... Wishing the worst upon people from mexico...Jake, I hope You and your family are safe during hurricane ike and you have no damage to your home
j hernandez
Dont wish this storm on anybody
16
Wednesday, 10 September 2008 19:45
Neal
I really dont wish a Hurricane of this magnitude on anyone but if it means the difference of hitting Texas and killing fellow Texans as well as driving up gas prices further, I rather have it hit Mexico where not as many people live and send them support and money to rebuild after the storm. Economically speaking, its cheaper to hit Mexico where there is less to rebuild than to plow thur Corpus Christi or Houston (my hometown)where there are billions of dollars of real estate and companies to be destroyed. The needs of the many out weigh the needs of the few.
Ike's path
15
Wednesday, 10 September 2008 19:29
Crappy The Penguin
Forecasts are placing Ike's path on a more severe North-Westerly path than satelite imaging would suggest. Ike will make landfall straddling equally the Texas-Louisiana border.
Ike
14
Wednesday, 10 September 2008 18:27
Jacob
Already a Category 4, and still a few days to get here. And I wanted to go in the gulf fishing this weekend.
ike/karina
13
Wednesday, 10 September 2008 18:06
chuck
the weather service said on august 27 and 28 2005, not to worry katrina is going to the west cost of florida. I am not unpacking from gustave evac yet
Ike
12
Wednesday, 10 September 2008 16:41
Frank
I hope Corpus has FEMA's number
Ike
11
Wednesday, 10 September 2008 13:55
Jack
Well, there are still some Katrina refugees to wash outta Houston. Maybe this will get them.
Ike and flood water surge
10
Wednesday, 10 September 2008 04:17
Eddy
Wow it has been a very rainy year already for most areas of the U.S. and I imagine Houston is about the same as I remember it with massive amounts of rainfall. If Ike does hit south of the Houston area the surge of water off the back eastern side of Ike could be very devistating.
ike
9
Tuesday, 09 September 2008 23:32
david
that was kinda dumb who ever siad that they wanted it to go to mexico america is well prepared for a catergory 3 storm compared to mexico
Go to Mexico!
8
Tuesday, 09 September 2008 22:47
Neal
This looks alot like the way Rita set up. It was forecasted to hit Houston then it slowed and re-curved into Beaumont. Ike is looking like Corpus Christi but if it slows it may hit Houston, which would be catostrophic.
well duh ike
7
Tuesday, 09 September 2008 22:14
david fromsouth texas
hurricane ike look like it going to hit above corpus christi thank god it not going to hit south texas well they saying that if it move fast it going to hit here but if it go slow it will hit houston it better move fast
Ike
6
Tuesday, 09 September 2008 21:24
Jake
Don't forget to blow them Mexicans out of there too Fred.
Ike
5
Tuesday, 09 September 2008 21:21
Fred
Come blow some of the trash outta my yard.
Ike, Ike, go away
4
Tuesday, 09 September 2008 16:48
South Texas Boy
I hope Hurricane Ike doesn't hit the Rio Grande Valley. We just got over Hurricane Dolly!
Ike
3
Tuesday, 09 September 2008 13:01
Louis
No way Jose, It's going to hit below Corpus Christi,maybe blow a few cows around.........
hurricane ike
2
Tuesday, 09 September 2008 05:20
christine
yes i think it will hit. probably the brazoria county area.
where is it going to hit
1
Tuesday, 09 September 2008 01:57
David
do you think hurricane ike will hit south texas ??????????????
Tropical WX 
Hurricane Ike Forecast Storm Surge
A more precise forecast will be available early tomorrow morning.
25 cents a gallon more? We'll get anyway since the refineries have to shutdown REGARDLESS of where this hits. If it damages ANY refinery, we will see another $1.00 a gallon.
So does anyone remember the path Rita took. This is exactly where they said it would hit for Rita and it ended up hitting us in Port Arthur/Beaumont Area. What are the chances of this happening twice?
Most likely!
Ike is tracking at only 8 MPH and a front from the West is pushing against it. It's gonna bend it like Beckham, mark my word.
j hernandez